“What name do you want on this trophy again?…”
As the rugby world staggers into 2010 fresh off the back what was somewhat of an annus horribilis for the world game, the new year has both the promise of change and that new car smell about it. It is a big year for a number of sides, with The Ospreys, Toulouse, Bath, Wasps, the Stormers and the Brumbies all under pressure to deliver the goods in their respective competitions.
On an international front, with a World Cup beckoning it’s pretty much a big year round, but predictably it is at Twickenham’s Ivory towers where the heat will be felt the most. If I were a betting man, these are the teams I would be backing to either score some big victories or be caught up in the mid-table malaise.
Guinness Premiership – Given the acrimony in which last season ended, nobody would have thought that Saracens would have been the table toppers at the turn of the year. It remains a fact in my eyes however that at some point they will have to play some rugby. Each of London Irish, Northampton Saints, Wasps and to a lesser extent Leicester Tigers can hit you for a score from their own half but they simply cannot outside the threat of a ball-starved Noah Cato and their outstanding hooker Schalk Britz. For this reason I think they will have to settle for the play-offs this season.
Saints look as though they are ready to breakthrough but their scrum can be targeted and Foden isn’t quite there defensively as a world-class full-back so I see London Irish being crowned champions next may. That said, only a fool would count out Leicester and the weekly humiliations suffered by the Wasps pack means they are going to be lucky to hang on to their Heineken spot.
Bath will surely escape the mire at the foot of the table with Butch James and Michael Claasens to return to the side, thus leaving Leeds wedged in the trapdoor. But then again stranger things have happened…
Magners League – I must hold up my hands at this stage and make a confession, I never cared for the Magners League. Not when it started, not even last season and as a dedicated rugby connoisseur I am indeed quite ashamed of this. I’d make the same excuses time after time, “It’s all the second string sides…the commentary is in welsh…there is Rambo: First Blood on the other side”. To cut to the chase, this October I watched a game and it was pretty good (although I defy anyone to find Connaught v The Dragons entertaining) but it did make you wonder why the Welsh sides could fit their entire home support inside a Fiat Panda.
I digress, the Scottish sides are a force to be reckoned with here (Admittedly I never thought I’d say that) but Leinster are just oozing class and whether they win the league or allow Glasgow or the Ospreys to take it depends on how much the Heineken Cup takes its toll. This applies equally to the dogged, indefatigable Munstermen. This is the Ospreys best chance for a title given their propensity to wilt in the face of sheer intensity. Unfortunately for them, there are just too many parallels between them and the equally talented but brittle Gloucester under Dean Ryan. If they go empty-handed again, the end of the season should be the end of this current squad as they lack the werewithal to win anything major. You heard it here first.
(P.S. – Surely the IRFU must do something with the Connacht province. Scoring 107 points in 9 games just is not good enough and its high time that the IRFU either shut down the province completely or started giving them the same budget as the other 3 teams. If people maintain that not having relegation improves quality then this mob sadly beg to differ.)
Top 14 – All of them being French, trying to predict the the winner is likely to be a fruitless endeavour. Nevertheless it must surely be Clermont’s year, 10 times beaten finalists including the last two years running. They are probably the best team in France, with the most potent attack, the meanest defence, the best squad, arguably the best fly-half, the list goes on. However, I reiterate this is the French we are talking about.
More interesting is that Stade are currently outside of the Heineken Cup places and Perpignan and Biarritz are teetering on the brink. A situation well worth watching.
Super 14 – With Dan Carter and Chris Jack back this years title has the Crusaders name written all over it. So impressive in last years final, the Bulls will struggle to repeat the same heroics as it’s been a long year for the core Springboks. They will be there or thereabouts come seasons end but the main SA threat will come from the Stormers this season after their excellent recruitment of Bryan Habana and Jaque Fourie. Keep an eye on the Chiefs and Lelia Masaga for top try scorer as well as the Brumbies.
Heineken Cup – As we do a round by round prediction I won’t go into any great depth here. Munster continue to rage against the dying of the light and their second-half destruction in Perpignan showed they aren’t finished yet. I see the title going to France which is as much as I will say, be it Paris, Clermont or Toulouse.
Six Nations – This will be the most interesting Six Nations tournaments for years given that in terms of World Cup preparation England, (and their entire coaching staff bar Johnson) are drinking in the last chance saloon and they only have enough change for one round. I am backing them for another 2nd place finish. Second because Marc Lievremont surely cannot manage to foul-up another competition with the talent available at his disposal. They still amazingly lack a dominant fly-half but Trinh-Duc is good enough for them to take the title. Ireland may come 2nd but more probably 3rd in my eyes.
Warren Gatland should rightly be under scrutiny come February. Their autumn finished on a low note after a battering at the hands of Australia, and given Gatland’s propensity to make bold claims about the quality of other teams and their players, he should be prepared to suffer the same fate at the hands of the fans and the media. I don’t see much improvement on their part so a 4th place finish is not out of the question.
Now off with the crystal ball for a while, it’s giving me a headache.
My Five Favourite Things of the Year
There is nothing better to clarify the mind after a breathless year of rugby and incident than sitting on a ski lift in the French Alps. My colleague Tom McArthur has already produced an insightful, root and branch review of the year, so this would be the perfect time to resurrect the “Facebook Favourite” “My Five Favourite Things…”.
Covering the last 12 months in rugby, I have broken down the big hits, scintillating scores, dead eye goalkicking and thunderous tight play into bite size morsels for your delectation. Fill your boots.
#1 – B&I Lions Tour 2nd Test: The Empire Strikes Back…Almost – Still to this day it is unthinkable that the Lions did not win this test match. After administering one of the most one-sided first half thrashings you will ever see, second half injuries and the unfortunate Ronan O’Gara combined to thwart a Herculean Lions effort leaving Morné Steyn with a 60m heave for the series, the rest is history.
It was one of the greatest test matches of the decade if not the greatest, for the sheer intensity with which the game began and the tightest of finishes, this game had it all. What if Schalk Burger had been sent off? What if the Lions hadn’t succumbed to two front row injuries? What if Ugo Monye had finished one of his three opportunities for a score? Did Jaque Fourie go into touch? Why didn’t O’Gara get the ball to the safety of touch? All questions we have been asking ourselves ever since. This will be remembered as the tour that launched the likes of Jamie Roberts, Tom Croft and Tommy Bowe as world class performers not to mention the outstanding Heinrich Brussow.
The Lions went on to record a landslide victory in the next test yet for sheer drama and quality of play this is the test that will be remembered in 50 years time.
#2 – Tries, Tries and more Tries – For all the talk of how the breakdown is suffocating and paralysing attacks, there were a numer of outstanding tries scored this year. The fact remains that once you get in behind a defence there is not a great deal they can do to prevent a score going over. This has been demonstrated recently by the All Blacks in France, and most accurately by the Lions.
Back in March Ireland and France played out a thriller in Dublin which Ireland edged late on their way to a Grand Slam. Both Ireland tries by O’Driscoll and Heaslip were gems but it is the opening try of the match by Imanol Harinordoquy which is my tip for try of the year, beginning at a lineout of the France 22 and ending two phases later with France’s number 8 crashing over in the corner.
Memorable solo scores have also come from Philip Burger at Munster, reminding players to be careful who they kick to, the electric Sitiveni Sivivatu and Cedric Heymans brilliance in France’s victory over the All Blacks in NZ.
#3 – “But coach we are World Champions, why are we staying in Grantham for a wednesday game?…What do you mean I’m in Watford next week?” – I have already repeatedly professed my delight at the return of the midweek tour match, and as proven by Munster first and now Leicester, Saracens, Gloucester and Cardiff they are doing a roaring trade.
The importance of these matches is clear on a number of levels. There are a number of players that are great club players, but they will never reach the quality required to be an international (unless they play for Leicester and have the last name Deacon but that is a another story). But for men such as Hugh Vyvyan, Kevin Sorrell, Gary Powell and Adam Eustace these games are why they started playing rugby, a chance to test themselves against the best in the game.
Very few fans get to see their own international sides play in the flesh let alone others so this brings the game closer to the fans that repeatedly have their pockets troughed to pay the stars. They also offer the coaches an opportunity to test combinations in less important games. If this results in Martin Castrogiovanni deconstructing an entire springbok pack single-handedly then so much the better.
#4 – Rocky VI: Murrayfield and the Heineken Cup – After years of being eclipsed by their countrymen and perennial finalists Munster, BOD’s Leinster finally snared the Heineken Cup after a nailbiting final against the Leicester Tigers. The undoubted driving force behind Leinster throughout the season was the Wallaby force of nature Rocky Elsom, who strong-armed Europe’s finest into submission before responding to Robbie Deans S.O.S. at the end of the season. Meanwhile Jonny Sexton blossomed into the man who would go on to finally oust Ronan O’Gara from the Ireland starting fly-half berth.
#5 – London goes 7’s Loco and Gollings does it Again – It was the year 7’s finally got it’s due as it was readmitted into the Olympics from 2016. Paul Treu’s South Africa swept almost all before them all year until the London leg of the IRB sevens series where Twickenham became the cauldron of noise and colour that has been all too absent in recent years as Ollie Phillips and seven legend Ben Gollings led the side to their first home trophy since 2005.
England came back from three tries down in the final to knock off New Zealand after a sensational last minute equalizer by Dan Norton and a touchline conversion by Gollings. Micky Young then sealed it with a snipe in extra time.
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Happy new year.
The numbers finally add-up for Fenby
Normally, Llanelli Scarlets fielding a rookie accountant turned winger would not be of consequence anyone other than the Scarlets hardcore supporters, however there is interest for all aspiring professional rugby players down in west Wales.
Three years ago, Andrew Fenby was the Newcastle university squash captain and playing reserve rugby at then National 3 Blaydon. As the famous Irish stout manufacturers would have you believe, the cream does eventually rise to the top, he was put into the first team and he scored tries. Lots of them. Even as Blaydon moved upto what is now National 1, his record was better than a try every other game, a lot from long-range courtesy of his serious speed, step and slashing lines.
The Newcastle Falcons took him on loan and in their Black he was no less prolific scoring 9 tries in 2 games for the A team then 2 tries in 3 games in the Guinness Premiership before seeing out the season at Blaydon before leaving for Llanelli upon completion of his accountancy course.
Its a great story and congratulations to the guy, he is just one example that there is talent down the league system if the clubs are willing to look. Another from the north east to break through to the professional ranks is Rupert Harden whom Gloucester signed from Tynedale this summer. Already the prop has featured against Australia in a tour match this season, joining the long long list of props to have gotten underneath Matt Dunning at scrum-time.
The next to watch out for is Nick Royle from Fylde who is currently with the England 7’s squad and has been terrifying teams in National 2 for years now and will probably land at Sale next season.
Now in case you haven’t seen Fenby in action (and you probably haven’t) here’s some tries including the length of the field solo effort from the kick-off against Nottingham in last years EDF Trophy.